kowenicki Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 (edited) This is... er..... erm..... we we are going up! https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/league-two/ LEAGUE TWO 2018-19 season END-OF-SEASON PROBABILITIES TEAM SPI REL. PROM. WIN LEAGUE MK Dons6 pts 25.3 <1% 67% 31% Oldham Athletic1 pt 23.7 <1% 49% 14% Lincoln City6 pts 18.4 <1% 39% 11% Exeter City6 pts 18.6 <1% 37% 10% Mansfield Town4 pts 18.4 <1% 33% 8% Bury3 pts 18.1 <1% 31% 7% Northampton1 pt 17.9 1% 26% 5% Crewe Alexandra3 pts 15.1 3% 16% 3% Forest Green4 pts 13.2 3% 13% 2% Notts County1 pt 13.2 4% 12% 2% Carlisle United1 pt 12.1 5% 10% 1% Stevenage4 pts 11.6 5% 10% 1% Swindon Town3 pts 12.5 6% 10% 1% Colchester United4 pts 9.3 5% 8% <1% Cambridge United3 pts 11.8 6% 9% 1% Tranmere Rovers4 pts 10.3 6% 8% <1% Crawley Town3 pts 10.1 10% 6% <1% Newport County3 pts 7.6 13% 3% <1% Port Vale3 pts 8.0 14% 3% <1% Yeovil Town1 pt 8.3 16% 3% <1% Grimsby Town3 pts 7.0 18% 2% <1% Cheltenham Town0 pts 8.3 20% 2% <1% Macclesfield Town0 pts 7.5 22% 2% <1% Morecambe0 pts 6.2 41% <1% <1% Edited August 15, 2018 by kowenicki Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kowenicki Posted August 15, 2018 Author Share Posted August 15, 2018 (edited) Also... Top 500. Get in !! https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/global-club-soccer-rankings/ 490 Reus 0.6 1.5 23.9 491 Grenoble 0.7 1.7 23.8 492 Sirius 1.1 2.2 23.8 493 Fleetwood Town 0.8 1.7 23.7 494 Oldham Athletic 0.9 1.9 23.7 495 SuperSport Utd 0.6 1.6 23.7 496 St Johnstone 0.8 1.8 23.7 497 Plymouth Argyle 0.8 1.9 23.4 498 Livingston 0.8 1.8 23.3 499 Sochaux 0.8 1.9 23.3 500 Lugo 0.7 1.6 23.2 501 W. Phoenix 0.9 2.0 23.2 502 Portland 2 1.0 2.2 22.9 503 St Mirren 0.8 1.8 22.8 504 Shrewsbury Town 0.7 1.7 22.8 505 Saint Louis 0.8 1.8 22.8 506 LA Galaxy II 1.2 2.5 22.0 507 Red Star 0.7 1.8 21.9 508 San Antonio 0.8 1.9 21.6 509 AmaZulu 0.6 1.6 21.5 510 Rochdale 0.7 1.9 21.4 511 Chippa United 0.6 1.6 21.3 512 Luton Town 0.7 1.8 21.3 Edited August 15, 2018 by kowenicki Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kusunga_Is_God Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Think this relies on last seasons data a bit too heavily. Will probably re-adjust after a couple of games Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBigDog Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 And they even use the old club crest.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
philliggi Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 Oh how painful it is to be smaller than fleetwood Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
latics22 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 10 hours ago, kowenicki said: This is... er..... erm..... we we are going up! https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/league-two/ LEAGUE TWO 2018-19 season END-OF-SEASON PROBABILITIES TEAM SPI REL. PROM. WIN LEAGUE MK Dons6 pts 25.3 <1% 67% 31% Oldham Athletic1 pt 23.7 <1% 49% 14% Lincoln City6 pts 18.4 <1% 39% 11% Exeter City6 pts 18.6 <1% 37% 10% Mansfield Town4 pts 18.4 <1% 33% 8% Bury3 pts 18.1 <1% 31% 7% Northampton1 pt 17.9 1% 26% 5% Crewe Alexandra3 pts 15.1 3% 16% 3% Forest Green4 pts 13.2 3% 13% 2% Notts County1 pt 13.2 4% 12% 2% Carlisle United1 pt 12.1 5% 10% 1% Stevenage4 pts 11.6 5% 10% 1% Swindon Town3 pts 12.5 6% 10% 1% Colchester United4 pts 9.3 5% 8% <1% Cambridge United3 pts 11.8 6% 9% 1% Tranmere Rovers4 pts 10.3 6% 8% <1% Crawley Town3 pts 10.1 10% 6% <1% Newport County3 pts 7.6 13% 3% <1% Port Vale3 pts 8.0 14% 3% <1% Yeovil Town1 pt 8.3 16% 3% <1% Grimsby Town3 pts 7.0 18% 2% <1% Cheltenham Town0 pts 8.3 20% 2% <1% Macclesfield Town0 pts 7.5 22% 2% <1% Morecambe0 pts 6.2 41% <1% <1% I’ll take this, just! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLDHAMADE Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 14 hours ago, philliggi said: Oh how painful it is to be smaller than fleetwood I bet Blackpool fans are saying the exact same thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longtimeblue Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 (edited) On 8/16/2018 at 7:07 AM, philliggi said: Oh how painful it is to be smaller than fleetwood We're not. Even on that they only beat us due to alphabetical order. Edited August 17, 2018 by longtimeblue Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusoe Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Higher ranked than AmaZulu? I knew we were too good to be forgotten. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L1onheartNew Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 2 hours ago, Crusoe said: Higher ranked than AmaZulu? I knew we were too good to be forgotten. I have upboated you purely on memory alone... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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