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Where will the Latics will finish this season?


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latics poll  

37 members have voted

  1. 1. where will latics be this season

    • Champions
      19
    • Runners Up
      13
    • 3rd. Place (playoffs)
      2
    • 4th. Place (playoffs)
      2
    • 5th. Place (playoffs)
      1
    • 6th. Place (playoffs)
      0
    • Oh yes they will in League One
      0


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Where will the Latics will finish this season?

Champions

Runners Up

3rd. Place (playoffs)

4th. Place (playoffs)

5th. Place (playoffs)

6th. Place (playoffs)

They won't be playing Barnsley next season!

Oh yes they will in League One

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Where will the Latics will finish this season?

Champions

Runners Up

3rd. Place (playoffs)

4th. Place (playoffs)

5th. Place (playoffs)

6th. Place (playoffs)

They won't be playing Barnsley next season!

Oh yes they will in League One

 

 

not tempting fate Bob :sign0068:

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Interesting posts on 606 (BBC) in two parts.

 

Right Statto head on - a purely objective view on promotion, from one of the over-zealous Oldham Fans...

 

I have looked at the past 5 years League tables, and calculated the average number of points needed to be placed in the top 6 - this works out thus (are you all excited....)

 

1st - 92pts (Highest 100, Lowest 82)

2nd - 83pts (Highest 86, Lowest 79)

3rd - 81pts

4th - 78pts

5th - 76pts

6th - 75pts (Highest 81, lowest 71)

 

Soooo, what does that mean for the top 8 contenders? Well, the 2 most consitent boundaries over the 5 years have been 83pts for promotion (couldnt give a monkeys about winning the league), and 75 points for the Playoffs (take out the freakish 2003 with Wigan and the top 6 battering all) and these are almost exact...

 

Right then, so 1 by 1...

 

Oldham & Scunny - 58 pts, 15 games left

Promotion - 1.6ptspergame. 8/9 wins (56%). PO's -1.1ppg,6 Wins(40%)

 

Notts Forest - 56 pts, 15 Games Left

Promotion - 1.8 ppg, 9 wins.(60%) PO's - 1.25ppg, 7 wins(47%)

 

Yeovil - 54 pts, 15 Games Left

Promotion - 1.9ppg, 10 wins.(66%) PO's - 1.4ppg, 7/8 wins(50%)

 

Brizzle City - 53 pts, 15 games Left

Promotion - 2ppg, 10 wins,(66%) PO's - 1.5ppg, 7/8 wins(50%)

 

Trannies - 49pts, 14 Games left

Promotion - 2.4ppg, 11/12 wins(82%) - PO's 1.9ppg 9/10 wins(67%)

 

Swans - 47 Pts, 15 Games Left

Promotion - 2.4ppg - 12 Wins(80%) - PO's 1.9ppg(66%) - 10 Wins (win the extra game as Tranmere have the points on the board)

 

Blackpool - 47 Points, 17 Games Left

Promotion - 2.1ppg, 12 wins(70%) - PO's 1.6ppg 9 wins.(53%)

 

Doncaster - 46 pts, 16 games left

Promotion - 2.3ppg - 12/13 wins(78%) - PO's 1.8ppg, 10 Wins(63%)

 

So that means...

 

1. Realisticaly - Only Oldham, Scunthorpe, Forest, Yeovil, Bristol can win automatic promotion (more than 2pts a game is unrealistic)

2. Oldham, Scunthorpe & Forest will be in the top 6.

3. Tranmere will definitely miss out on everything..

4. Everyone needs to win lots.

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Part two

Soooo, based on the percentage of games each team needs to win to achieve a top 6 finish... the table would look like this..

 

1. Oldham (goal Difference)

2. Scunthorpe

3. Forest

4. Yeovil

5. Bristol

6. Blackpool

7. Doncaster

8. Swansea

9. Tranmere

 

Right... add some form into the mixer.... The current order of form of these teams are as follows:

 

1. Oldham

2. Yeovil

3. Blackpool

4. Doncaster

5. Scunthorpe

6. Bristol

7. Swansea

8. Forest

9. Tranmere

 

So, if you combine the two, objective facts, and subjective form... the final table will look like this... (adding the 2 positions together - lowest the best.. same points settles by current position)

 

1. Oldham (2)

2. Yeovil (6)

3. Scunthorpe (7)

4. Blackpool (9)

5. Forest (11)

6. Bristol (11)

7. Doncaster (11)

8. Swansea (15)

9. Tranmere (18)

 

As you can see, i have proved, conclusively, that anyway you look at it - Oldham will go up... I would also like to congratulate Yeovil on thier automatic promotion....

 

Tranmere - Sorry boys - I feel for you ;)

 

FACT PLAIN AND SIMPLE.

 

Oh when the blueeeeeesssss!

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