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STATS: Over my shoulder? Safe as houses 2


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2022 Update:

 

image.png

 

2020 is an outlier, season was cut short to approx. 36 games and has been omitted from the averages below.

 

Predicting the Latics will manage 38.533 points by the end of the season.

 

First posted last year.

 

 

 

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We'll need a table finishing like 2015, 2016 or 2019 to stand a chance. Can't see us getting 14 or 15 points from the next 9 games.

 

Mansfield - on form

Orient - on form

Stevenage - crucial

Port Vale - on form

Northampton - reasonable form, going for promotion

Forest Green - top of table

Salford - on form

Tranmere - on form

Crawley - winnable

 

That's really tough.  Stevenage have 3 form teams to play (Tranmere, Carlisle who will probably be safe by then and Salford). Barrow have a tougher run in than us arguably. We either have to make up 3 points on Stevenage or 7 on Barrow (their goal diff much better). It could conceivably go down to the last game with us needing to beat Crawley at home who'll have nothing to play for and a defeat for Stevenage or Barrow who'll both be playing teams going for promotion.  Feel sick just thinking about it!

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4 hours ago, JoeP said:

When's the earliest we can be relegated?

Mathematically I think it is after Northampton (H), on Good Friday, if we lose all our games, Stevenage win all their games, including beating us. Colchester win all their other games (as Stevenage beat them) and Barrow win 3 of their next 4.

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  • 1 month later...
On 3/24/2022 at 6:50 PM, Bender said:

2022 Update:

 

image.png

 

2020 is an outlier, season was cut short to approx. 36 games and has been omitted from the averages below.

 

Predicting the Latics will manage 38.533 points by the end of the season.

 

First posted last year.

 

 

 

 

Regrettably, this forecast was inaccurate by .533 points.

 

Quote

Predicting the Latics will manage 38.533 points by the end of the season.

 

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