According to Sky Sports league predictor put up today we are on track to stay in League One for another year with a 31% chance of relegation. Bury have a 99% chance and Rochdale have a 92%
http://www.skysports.com/football/news/11719/11301140/sky-sports-league-one-predictor-wigan-title-blackburn-promoted
The Sky Sports predictor is based on a system called Elo, originally set up to rate chess players. It takes into account form, who your team still has left to play, and how well a team has done in previous seasons.