Monty Burns Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/14/2024 at 11:08 PM, GKing521 said: 15/1 atm to go up. If they get in, they win it. thats not how play offs work Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 hours ago, Dave_Og said: As I had a reasonably significant ew bet (top 3)! I fully expect us to finish 4th Cashed mine out many moons ago, personally I think we could just sneak it and wish I'd let it ride, were we about 6/1 top three or was that for promotion?, or was it 7/2 top 3?. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave_Og Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 15 minutes ago, yarddog73 said: Cashed mine out many moons ago, personally I think we could just sneak it and wish I'd let it ride, were we about 6/1 top three or was that for promotion?, or was it 7/2 top 3?. Best price I got was 11/1 to win , 1/4 odds for top 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 6 minutes ago, Dave_Og said: Best price I got was 11/1 to win , 1/4 odds for top 3 I was on at 11's, 6's for promotion and 7/2 top three, all cashed out now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcfluff1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, yarddog73 said: I was on at 11's, 6's for promotion and 7/2 top three, all cashed out now. Cos the season was over and there was no budget left? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, mcfluff1985 said: Cos the season was over and there was no budget left? Log off lad you're embarrassing yourself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave_Og Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 20 minutes ago, yarddog73 said: I was on at 11's, 6's for promotion and 7/2 top three, all cashed out now. I very rarely cash out anything. It's never good value as you are paying the bookie's margin twice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Dave_Og said: I very rarely cash out anything. It's never good value as you are paying the bookie's margin twice. I just thought what they offered at the time was overpriced based on what I'd seen, I still fancy us for playoffs though now so may revisit that one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oafcmetty Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 10/1 to promote (bet365) 16/1 Nors top scorer (bet365) 12/1 Top 3 (bet365) 1/2 Top 7 (bet365/skybet) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Great watch and in the end I didn't begrudge them the win, we've been the underdog on numerous occasions and I'm glad those fans enjoyed their day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcfluff1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, yarddog73 said: Log off lad you're embarrassing yourself. That wasn't the stance you had taken? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, mcfluff1985 said: That wasn't the stance you had taken? All a bit strange..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcfluff1985 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 19 minutes ago, yarddog73 said: All a bit strange..... Good one. Valid point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBigDog Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 5 hours ago, Dave_Og said: I very rarely cash out anything. It's never good value as you are paying the bookie's margin twice. I had Latics to win 3-1 at Solihull and cashed out when the score got to 3-1… it was good value for me that day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oafcmetty Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 37 minutes ago, TheBigDog said: I had Latics to win 3-1 at Solihull and cashed out when the score got to 3-1… it was good value for me that day Dave's point is you'd have made more backing Solihull/Draw in play elsewhere. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBigDog Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 hours ago, oafcmetty said: Dave's point is you'd have made more backing Solihull/Draw in play elsewhere. Don’t understand - can you explain? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave_Og Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 hours ago, TheBigDog said: I had Latics to win 3-1 at Solihull and cashed out when the score got to 3-1… it was good value for me that day You did well but you didn't get value Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oafcmetty Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 37 minutes ago, TheBigDog said: Don’t understand - can you explain? Ok think you said you had an OAFC win at 3/1 - so say £10 on, returns £40 (£30 winnings plus £10 stake) - £30 profit. Let's make numbers up and say the cash out was £30, giving you £20 profit. At the same point you could probably have backed the 'double chance' Solihull/Draw for, let's say, 8/1. So you could have stuck a fiver on that instead. If OAFC hold on for the win, you're £25 up (the £30 profit from above, minus your £5 hedge). If they don't win you've lost your original £10, but gained £40 profit from the hedge, so £30 up. So either £30 or £25 profit, rather than £20 through the cash out. Obviously made up numbers, but the theory is real 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 25 minutes ago, oafcmetty said: Ok think you said you had an OAFC win at 3/1 - so say £10 on, returns £40 (£30 winnings plus £10 stake) - £30 profit. Let's make numbers up and say the cash out was £30, giving you £20 profit. At the same point you could probably have backed the 'double chance' Solihull/Draw for, let's say, 8/1. So you could have stuck a fiver on that instead. If OAFC hold on for the win, you're £25 up (the £30 profit from above, minus your £5 hedge). If they don't win you've lost your original £10, but gained £40 profit from the hedge, so £30 up. So either £30 or £25 profit, rather than £20 through the cash out. Obviously made up numbers, but the theory is real It is but unless you bet on the exchanges you'll have your accounts restricted for arbing, particularly if you are successful at it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliofashy Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 31 minutes ago, yarddog73 said: It is but unless you bet on the exchanges you'll have your accounts restricted for arbing, particularly if you are successful at it. My experience is that regular £5 or £10 cover bets have never been an issue. have also had £40 and £50 bets to cover when my bet is losing on a regular basis, never had a problem with bookies, is it possible that the trigger point is higher or maybe have I just been lucky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yarddog73 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 hours ago, aliofashy said: My experience is that regular £5 or £10 cover bets have never been an issue. have also had £40 and £50 bets to cover when my bet is losing on a regular basis, never had a problem with bookies, is it possible that the trigger point is higher or maybe have I just been lucky I'm talking from experience all be it in another sport, Bet365 are particularly bad for restricting bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles or Eddie Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 So much chat about betting on here all the time. Bit of a worry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L1onheartNew Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, Charles or Eddie said: So much chat about betting on here all the time. Bit of a worry I wish that I knew what they are talking about. One bet, one win. Aldaniti' 1981. Quit while you are ahead... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBigDog Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 10 hours ago, oafcmetty said: Ok think you said you had an OAFC win at 3/1 - so say £10 on, returns £40 (£30 winnings plus £10 stake) - £30 profit. Let's make numbers up and say the cash out was £30, giving you £20 profit. At the same point you could probably have backed the 'double chance' Solihull/Draw for, let's say, 8/1. So you could have stuck a fiver on that instead. If OAFC hold on for the win, you're £25 up (the £30 profit from above, minus your £5 hedge). If they don't win you've lost your original £10, but gained £40 profit from the hedge, so £30 up. So either £30 or £25 profit, rather than £20 through the cash out. Obviously made up numbers, but the theory is real Cheers The bet I had was Latics to win by a score of 3-1 which had odds of 16-1. I cashed out when we were leading 3-1 and the game ended 3-2 when Solihull scored a 94th minute penalty… I definitely got less value by cashing out but if I hadn’t or had gone for Solihull/draw I would have got zip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pidge Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 hours ago, L1onheartNew said: I wish that I knew what they are talking about. One bet, one win. Aldaniti' 1981. Quit while you are ahead... My win was on Chaddy the Owl at 40/1 in the mascot race. Back then he did that run from one penalty to the other to kick a penalty. I remember thinking he was fast and so put a tenner on . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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